Dynamics that Determines the Price of Bitcoin?
Market forces called supply and demand can influence the price of Bitcoin. The price decreases when there are more sellers in the market and increases when there are more buyers.
Bitcoin (BTC)
is a digital coin that is not issued by any government or legal body, unlike
fiat currencies such as the dollar, pound, euro, and yen. To create, buy,
store, and move BTC, a dispersed network of users and cryptographic protocols
are needed.
Investors can
carry out their commercial transactions directly without a middleman. The
peer-to-peer network removes trade restrictions and streamlines
commerce. Satoshi Nakamoto proposed the world's first cryptocurrency
in 2008, which was launched in January 2009.
Bitcoin Valuation
The number
of businesses accepting Bitcoin is growing every day, giving it a real market value. However, virtual currency has been vulnerable to security issues and is highly volatile. It has been challenging to find answers to common questions like
what determines Bitcoin's value, who sets Bitcoin’s price, and whether Bitcoin
has intrinsic value.
The same set
of market dynamics, ‘supply and demand,’ that affect the price of other goods
and services also decide the value of Bitcoin. Prices rise and fall depending on the number of buyers and sellers. It is important to note that the price of
Bitcoin is not determined by a single entity, nor can it be traded in a single
location. Based on supply and demand, each market or exchange sets its own
price.
Factors
Impacting the Bitcoin Price?
Various factors can impact the price of Bitcoin, including supply and
demand of BTC, competition from other cryptocurrencies, cost of production, and
regulation.
Supply and Demand
Those with a
background in economics are aware of the law of supply and demand. Supply and
demand are the market forces that work together to determine the market price.
The demand for an economic good declines as the price increases, and rises with the fall in prices.
Competitions and News
BTC faces
competition from altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and meme coins like Dogecoin
(DOGE), making portfolio diversification appealing to investors. The upgrades to
the existing cryptocurrencies can push BTC's price down. This is in contrast to a completely different setup in which Bitcoin was the only digital currency. Media coverage can
influence investors’ decisions to buy crypto assets with a positive outlook and ignore those with a
shady future.
Production Costs
Bitcoin
production costs include infrastructure costs, mining electricity charges, and
the difficulty level of the mathematical algorithm (an indirect cost). The various levels of difficulty in BTC's algorithms can slow or accelerate the
currency's production, affecting Bitcoin's supply and, its price too.
Regulations
Cryptocurrency
regulations are ever-changing. Countries like El Salvador have accepted it
as legal tender, while China has formally banned crypto transactions. BTC prices are subject to government policy decisions. Regulatory uncertainty among investors could impact the value of
Bitcoin as well.
An Asset with a
High Volatility
Uncertainty regarding the intrinsic value of Bitcoin and BTC's future value makes it a highly volatile asset. The Bitcoin market is quite small compared to other industries, and media coverage alone can drive its price up or down. For instance, news about Tesla's announcement to accept BTC will drive its value upwards or vice-versa, making Bitcoin’s price highly volatile.
Similarly, a tweet that the Bitcoin blockchain has been halted can drive its value down and reduce the trading volume. So, considering the high volatility, can the Bitcoin price fall to zero?
Technically, the answer is yes. It is possible.
The price of BTC is not pegged to any fiat currency like the U.S. dollar or any
other real-world asset and is susceptible to value crashes. However, we saw
last month that algorithmic stablecoins like Terra USD crashed to
nothing and created turbulence in the market.
The complex
Bitcoin architecture is not easy to destroy, although its scalability issues may put its
future at risk. Many are wondering, given the Chinese predictions that BTC's
price will fall to zero.
If the price
of Bitcoin falls to zero,
- It will impact traders, institutional investors, the price of other digital currencies, cryptocurrency enterprises, and the whole financial system.
- It will also
impact the price of other cryptocurrencies. Investors could just withdraw
(completely or substantially) to reduce losses, depending on their type of
investment.
- Large
institutional investors may be particularly at risk because more and more
have made huge investments to diversify their portfolios. The most exposed
would be those who invested more recently at high prices or in crypto
derivatives, and they would need to liquidate other assets to fulfill
margin calls.
- Customers
may lose faith in a system that appears to be crumbling,
affecting crypto-based companies like Coinbase, and Binance, which
depend on customers for transaction flow to generate revenue and
investments to grow. Investments in these companies may also stop
altogether or significantly decline. Additionally, such enterprises may no
longer be able to hire, pay or attract the personnel necessary to run and
expand them.
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